Why I skipped the Biggest Game of the Year… and tonights Premium Picks

Some may question the dedication of a handicapper that releases no plays at all on Super Sunday, the biggest day of the sports betting year. I did not even make communication via the site, and I can promise you it was not due to a lack of anything. Leading up to Sundays game, I changed my mind over 10 times on what side I liked and what total made sense. On one hand, I was playing the “Tommy Terrific” angle. I thought to myself there is NO WAY Brady was going to get this close and walk away empty handed again. This was the game that could cement his legacy as one of the BEST if not the BEST QB of the Super Bowl era. Immidiately following the Championship round, I thought with Gronk healthy and the Offense clicking on ALL cylinders, i thought it was nothing short of insanity to not play the Patriots. And the change in point spread from Seattle -2 down to a PK, even Pats -1 at some spots. Then the week progressed, “Deflate-Gate” ruled the sports airways and I began to wonder if the circus surrounding “Deflate-Gate” and the fact that Seattle was in someways being “forgot” as though they were not the defending champions. And then came the stats. It seemed almost EVERY relevant stat I read was against the Patriots. you had Russell Wilson’s 10-0 record against Super Bowl Winning QB’s; Patriots were 4-12 ATS their last 16 playoff games away from Gillette Stadium; NFL teams that scored 40+ points in their previous playoff game were 4-23 ATS the following game. Add in the fact that the last two Super Bowls the Patriots had played in they lost to a much inferior team in the Giants especially the  2007-08 game. The Patriots were closing in on a PERFECT 19-0 season, becoming the first team to have an undefeated season while winning the Super Bowl since the 1972 Miami Dolphins. Coincidentally that Super Bowl was played at University of Phoenix Stadium in Glendale Arizona just as yesterdays game did. Then I looked at the total, especially the first half total. 2 of the last 14 Super Bowls have stayed under the total in the first half. On top of that, in the 5 prior Super Bowls under the Belichick/Brady regime, the Patriots had scored a total of ZERO points in the 1st qtr of combined. So naturally I was leaning toward s the unders in the first half, and seen that I was not alone as maybe reliable sources of mine felt the same way. But then I seen the total being set at 23.5 and something gave me a BAD feeling and now was up in the air on the total as well. So that started the back and forth and it lasted all day yesterday. And once 2 o’clock PM eastern time hit and I had not come up with a consensus on either, I decided the smart thing to do was to skip the game totally. I do regret not releasing several “Prop Bets” I played because I had some good information on several of them and was profitable overall. But in the end, My initial “Tommy Terrific” angle turned out to be true and he proved to be to much for Seattle’s potent Defense and has cementing his legacy as one of the BEST QBs of the Super Bowl Era. As for tonight, there is a small card but it looks like a good card. Here are the early plays:

 

5 Units North Carolin PK

3 Units Milwaukee Bucks +5.5

3 Units Cleveland Cavaliers -16

1.5 Unit Parlay North Carolina, Cleveland Cavaliers and Milwaukee Bucks

 

Small lean on Pelicans Money Line however I had bet against Atlanta a lot during this 20 game streak and decided its best to stay off them both ways until it ends.

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